If an hypotetical third invasion would have followed the same pattern of the previous two, the Mongol would lose again. Logistically, having a Cody Jinks March 2024 Shirt based army crossing the sea is a nightmare, and this force the Mongol to follow a predictable route to land at the Hakata bay, twice. And despite their strenght, they weren’t able to make any significant victory in Kyushu, but suffered several defeats. So even by a tactical point of view, when the Mongols didn’t have an obvious numerical advantage, they lost all of their battles, like at Akasaka, Torikaigata or Mikuriya. The role of the kamikaze has been overblown by the defeated mongols and by the japanese clergy; in the first invasion, there is no mention in japanese sources of any storm, and in the second one, it was a final blow to an already defeated army.
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The Mongols had already wrecked Eastern Europe prior to Kublai becoming the Great Khan, and most of the Buffalo NHL Team Ice Hockey Snoopy And Woodstock T Shirt north and east of the Black Sea were under the control of the Golden Horde. The Mongols had proven that they could not only take the castles of Europe, but also beat its armies soundly. That’s where the technically yes part comes in. Based on what we saw, the Mongols were entirely capable of defeating the western European powers and invade Europe. But the key thing is that as I mentioned, the lands to the north and east of the Black Sea were ruled by the Golden Horde. By the time Kublai became Great Khan, the Mongol Empire was functionally four different realms. There was obviously Mongolia and China, which were Kublai’s domains, but there was also the Chagatai Khanate in Central Asia, the aforementioned Golden Horde in eastern Russia, and the Ilkhanate in Persia. The three latter khanates nominally owed loyalty to Kublai, and indeed the Ilkhanate was originally founded and ruled by his brother Hulaagu, but the fact was that they were independent and did what they wanted. For the most part. This is where the logically no part comes in. Kublai came to power after a civil war with his younger brother Ariq Boke, and the war essentially solidified the independent nature of the other three Khanates. To sum up a long answer, yes the Mongols could have done it if they wanted to, but they didn’t because of their own political situation and the fact that Kublai was a sinophile who ended up adopting the Chinese culture and system because it suited his needs and ambition.
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